Sunday, February 24, 2013

Final predictions -- 85th Oscars

Argo will win three including Best Picture; Life of Pi will win most overall; Lincoln will only win for its titular performance

Best Picture


Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Will Win: Argo

Might Win: Silver Linings Playbook
Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty
Logic: It's won everything to date, making it strong enough to buck the "no Director, no Picture" rule.

Best Director

Michael Haneke, Amour

Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook

Will Win: Ang Lee, Life of Pi

Might Win: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
Should Win: Michael Haneke, Amour
Logic: This one is still way, way wide open. I will be surprised when any of the five names are called. Most are thinking Spielberg will win, but with Lincoln only leading strong in one other category (Actor), I find it hard to back him. Instead, the more international Life of Pi should help Ang Lee over the top, although a surprise win for European legend Haneke or a left fielder for Acad-friendly Playbook is really not out of the question.