Sunday, September 22, 2013

2013 Emmy Predix

Short and sweet, because that's all the time I gots.

Best Comedy Series

The Big Bang Theory
Girls
Louie
Modern Family
30 Rock
Veep
Will Win: 30 Rock
Should Win: Louie
I just can't stomach that the Emmys would let Modern Family win *again*, so I'm hoping they give it to 30 Rock's victory lap of a final season. Louie's third season was really something (c'mon, it had David Lynch), so it would get my vote just slightly ahead of pitch-perfect satire Veep

Best Lead Actress, Comedy

Laura Dern, Enlightened
Lena Dunham, Girls
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Amy Poehler, Parks and Rec
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Will Win: Laura Dern, Enlightened
Should Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Especially since Dern's show got the ax, I see her as a frontrunner here, but there's just something so perfect about everything Julia Louis-Dreyfus does.

Best Lead Actor, Comedy

Jason Bateman, Arrested Development
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Louis C.K., Louie
Alex Baldwin, 30 Rock
Will Win: Jim Parsons
Should Win: Louis C.K.
I know I kind of have a love affair with Louie, but it's so singularly of a vision -- and so unique to TV in that way -- that I can't help myself. And I'd rather see pretty much anyone win this instead of Jim Parsons again, but what are you gonna do.

Best Supporting Actress, Comedy

Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
Jane Lynch, Glee
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Merritt Wever, Nurse Jackie
Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
Anna Chlumsky, Veep
Will Win: Mayim Bialik
Should Win: Jane Krakowski
Jane Krakowski was so, so perfect in 30 Rock, and it'd be a real shame if she didn't finally earn an Emmy for her work at the tail end of the show.

Best Supporting Actor, Comedy

Adam Driver, Girls
Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Ed O'Neill, Modern Family
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Bill Hader, Saturday Night Live
Tony Hale, Veep
Will Win: Ed O'Neill
Should Win: Adam Driver
Well, we finally got Eric Stonestreet out of the equation, but there are still three Modern Family actors for those blinded Emmy voters to salivate over. One of them will probably win this, O'Neill gets a sentimental vote, I guess? I'd be thrilled if they weren't so predictable and picked Adam Driver or even Tony Hale for this.

Best Directing, Comedy

Lena Dunham, "On All Fours," Girls
Paris Barclay, "Diva," Glee
Louis C.K., "New Year's Eve," Louie
Gail Macuso, "Arrested," Modern Family
Beth McCarthy-Miller, "Hogcock! / Last Lunch," 30 Rock
Will Win: Beth McCarthy-Miller
Should Win: Louis C.K.

Best Writing, Comedy Series

David Crane and Jeffrey Klarik, "Episode 209," Episodes
Louis C.K. and Pamela Adlon, "Daddy's Girlfriend (Part 1)," Louie
Greg Daniels, "Finale," The Office
Jack Burditt and Robert Carlock, "Hogcock!" 30 Rock
Tina Fey and Tracey Wright, "Last Lunch," 30 Rock
Will Win: Greg Daniels, The Office
Should Win: Greg Daniels, The Office
Look, The Office got legitimately terrible at places during its farewell season. But it knocked the Finale out of the freaking park, and it deserves this.

Best Drama Series

Breaking Bad
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
House of Cards
Mad Men
Will Win: House of Cards
Should Win: Game of Thrones
Okay, hear me out: The only reason I don't have Breaking Bad slotted in either will/should win is because I don't think you can or should vote on one half of a season. Next year, Breaking Bad deserves EVERY Emmy. But as for now, you have a weirdly abstract season of Mad Men, a fantastic half-season of BB, a middling-to-awful season of Homeland, and perennial bridesmaid Downton Abbey. For me, the show with the most "buzz" was House of Cards, and it lets the Emmys make a statement about "what television can and will be." But Game of Thrones was genuinely impressive for all its intricate, vast vision. It didn't top the first season, but all of its dozens of pieces finally felt like one. That kind of harmony deserves applause in this slate.

Best Lead Actress, Drama

Vera Farmiga, Bates Motel
Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey
Claire Danes, Homeland
Robin Wright, House of Cards
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Connie Britton, Nashville
Kerry Washington, Scandal
Will Win: Claire Danes
Should Win: Elisabeth Moss (I guess)
I didn't watch any of Bates Motel, Scandal, or Nashville, so I'm kind of unqualified here, I just see Claire Danes winning this because she's Claire Danes and the Emmys love her.

Best Lead Actor, Drama

Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Hugh Bonneville, Downton Abbey
Damian Lewis, Homeland
Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom
Will Win: Jeff Daniels
Should Win: Kevin Spacey
Part of me says Damian Lewis wins this again, but then I laugh and think, on what just world would that happen? Sadly though, I think Jeff Daniels's constant annoying monologuing about morality in The Newsroom will take away from Kevin Spacey's delectable creation -- I loved all his asides, I think he nails that South Carolina upcountry voice, and no one else managed to mingle text and subtext in performance quite like him last year.

Best Supporting Actor, Drama Series

Bobby Cannavale, Boardwalk Empire
Jonathan Banks, Breaking Bad
Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
Jim Carter, Downton Abbey
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
Will Win: Jonathan Banks
Should Win: Jonathan Banks
I guess Bobby Cannavale has a good shot at this one, but Jonathan Banks is so freaking awesome.

Best Supporting Actress, Drama

Anna Gunn, Breaking Bad
Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
Morena Baccarin, Homeland
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Will Win: Christine Baranski
Should Win: Emilia Clarke

Best Writing, Drama Series

George Mastras, "Dead Freight," Breaking Bad
Thomas Schnauz, "Say My Name," Breaking Bad
Julian Fellowes, "Episode 4," Downton Abbey
David Benioff and D.B. Weiss, "The Rains of Castamere," Game of Thrones
Henry Bromell, "Q&A," Homeland
Will Win: Breaking Bad ("Say My Name")
Should Win: Game of Thrones
Just please not Homeland; that was its turning point into lame 24-esque nonsense

Best Directing, Drama Series

Tim Van Patten, "Margate Sands," Boardwalk Empire
Michelle MacLaren, "Gliding Over All," Breaking Bad
Jeremy Webb, "Episode 4," Downton Abbey
Lesli Linka Glatter, "Q&A," Homeland
David Fincher, "Chapter 1," House of Cards
Will Win: David Fincher
Should Win: David Fincher

Others just predictions...

Best Miniseries: Behind the Candelabra
Best Actor, Miniseries: Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
Best Actress, Miniseries: Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake
Best Supporting Actor, Miniseries: Zachary Quinto, American Horror Story
Best Supporting Actress, Miniseries: Ellen Burstyn, Political Animals
Best Writing, Miniseries: Richard LaGravenese, Behind the Candelabra
Best Directing, Miniseries: Steven Soderbergh, Behind the Candelabra
Best Reality Program: The Amazing Race
Best Variety Series: The Daily Show
Best Variety Special: 12-12-12: The Concert for Sandy Relief
Best Writing for a Variety Series: The Colbert Report